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Which of the following best reflects the nonactivist view of stabilization policy?


A) Monetary and fiscal policies exert little impact on the economy.
B) Discretionary policy changes often make matters worse.
C) Fiscal policy should be used to help stabilize the economy; monetary policy should not.
D) Expansionary monetary policy is the primary source of rapid economic growth.

E) A) and B)
F) A) and C)

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According to the rational expectations theory, expansionary monetary policy will


A) reduce inflation.
B) lead to inflation and the higher rate of inflation will be quickly anticipated.
C) reduce unemployment because people will generally underestimate the inflationary side effects of the monetary expansion.
D) accelerate inflation in the short run, but in the long run the primary effect will be an increase in employment.

E) All of the above
F) B) and D)

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According to the modern expectational Phillips curve, unemployment will equal the natural rate of unemployment when


A) any inflation is present.
B) inflation turns out to be lower than what people expected.
C) inflation turns out to be higher than what people expected.
D) inflation turns out to be equal to what people expected.

E) None of the above
F) All of the above

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The adaptive expectations hypothesis implies that people


A) adjust their expectations quickly to policy changes.
B) expect the next period to be pretty much like the recent past.
C) will always be correct in their forecast for the next period.
D) change their expectations about the future if policy changes.

E) B) and C)
F) All of the above

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Figure 15-3 Figure 15-3    -As shown in Figure 15-3, if people behave according to rational expectations theory, an increase in the aggregate demand curve from AD₁ to AD₂ will cause the price level to move A)  directly from 100 to 105 and then remain at 105. B)  directly from 100 to 110 and then remain at 110. C)  from 100 to 105 initially and then eventually move back to 100. D)  from 100 to 105 initially and then eventually move to 110. -As shown in Figure 15-3, if people behave according to rational expectations theory, an increase in the aggregate demand curve from AD₁ to AD₂ will cause the price level to move


A) directly from 100 to 105 and then remain at 105.
B) directly from 100 to 110 and then remain at 110.
C) from 100 to 105 initially and then eventually move back to 100.
D) from 100 to 105 initially and then eventually move to 110.

E) B) and D)
F) A) and B)

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Activists believe that


A) the M1 money supply should be increased at a steady rate annually.
B) taxes should be increased during a recession in order to balance the federal budget.
C) the economy's self-correcting mechanism, if not stifled by perverse policies, will prevent prolonged periods of high unemployment.
D) discretionary changes in macroeconomic policy can help smooth the business cycle of a market economy.

E) All of the above
F) A) and B)

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Which of the following is a major area of disagreement between activists and nonactivists?


A) Activists believe discretionary macroeconomic policy can be applied in a manner that will enhance economic stability. Nonactivists disagree.
B) Activists believe monetary policy is more potent than fiscal policy. Nonactivists disagree.
C) Activists believe changes in monetary and fiscal policy exert their effects instantaneously. Nonactivists think they work only with a substantial lag.
D) Nonactivists think macroeconomic policy is sometimes motivated by the pursuit of political gain. Activists disagree.

E) B) and D)
F) A) and B)

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Under the rational expectations hypothesis, which of the following is the most likely short-run effect of a move to a more expansionary monetary policy?


A) higher prices and no change in real output
B) higher prices and expansion in real output
C) no change in prices but an expansion in real output
D) no change in either prices or real output

E) A) and B)
F) All of the above

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Under the adaptive expectations hypothesis, which of the following is the most likely short-run effect of a move to a more expansionary monetary policy?


A) higher prices and no change in real output
B) higher prices and expansion in real output
C) no change in prices but an expansion in real output
D) no change in either prices or real output

E) B) and D)
F) All of the above

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The effectiveness of monetary policy as a stabilization tool is limited by


A) activist economists, who exert pressure on politicians.
B) the inability to forecast the future and time policy changes in a stabilizing manner.
C) Congressional attempts to offset changes in monetary policy with modifications in fiscal policy.
D) the inability of the Federal Reserve to alter the money supply.

E) All of the above
F) None of the above

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The rational expectations hypothesis implies that use of discretionary macro-policy as a stabilization tool will


A) be ineffective, even in the short run.
B) be effective in the short run but ineffective in the long run.
C) be effective both in the short run and long run.
D) make it possible to trade-off a higher rate of inflation for a lower rate of unemployment.

E) A) and D)
F) B) and D)

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Use the table below to choose the correct answer. Use the table below to choose the correct answer.   According to the adaptive expectations hypothesis, at the beginning of period 3, decision makers would expect inflation during period 3 to be A)  2.5 percent. B)  5 percent. C)  7.5 percent. D)  8 percent. According to the adaptive expectations hypothesis, at the beginning of period 3, decision makers would expect inflation during period 3 to be


A) 2.5 percent.
B) 5 percent.
C) 7.5 percent.
D) 8 percent.

E) None of the above
F) A) and B)

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Under the adaptive expectations theory, people persistently


A) underestimate inflation when it is slowing down.
B) overestimate inflation when it is accelerating.
C) underestimate inflation when it is accelerating.
D) adapt to the prevailing inflation rate quickly.

E) A) and B)
F) A) and C)

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Why did many economists during the 1960s and 1970s believe that expansionary macroeconomic policy that resulted in inflation would reduce the rate of unemployment?


A) They failed to realize that the expansionary policy would stimulate aggregate demand.
B) They failed to realize that the expansionary policy would reduce real interest rates.
C) They failed to incorporate expectations into their analysis.
D) They thought that money growth would simply lead to a proportional increase in the price level.

E) B) and C)
F) A) and C)

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According to the modern expectational Phillips curve, unemployment will temporarily fall below the natural rate of unemployment when


A) any inflation is present.
B) inflation turns out to be lower than what people expected.
C) inflation turns out to be higher than what people expected.
D) inflation turns out to be equal to what people expected.

E) B) and C)
F) A) and B)

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What are the two theories about how expectations are formed? Discuss each.

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The two theories are adaptive and ration...

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Which of the following is true regarding economic fluctuations in the United States?


A) Since World War II, economic ups and downs have been more moderate than before the war.
B) Prior to World War II, real GDP annual increases of more than 5 percent were unheard of.
C) Real GDP grew rapidly during the 1930s.
D) The 1920s was a period of prolonged economic stagnation and high unemployment.

E) A) and D)
F) B) and D)

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According to the rational expectations theory,


A) on average people have very little idea of what to expect from government policy makers.
B) people form expectations by focusing only on the private sector.
C) people do not consider likely government policies when forming expectations.
D) people form expectations, in part, by considering the probable future effects of changes in government policy.

E) A) and B)
F) None of the above

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Activists believe that


A) discretionary changes in macroeconomic policy can help smooth the ups and downs of the business cycle.
B) balancing the federal budget is of primary importance to economic stability.
C) the economy's self-correcting mechanism, if not stifled by perverse policies, will prevent prolonged periods of high unemployment.
D) the M1 money supply should be increased at a steady annual rate.

E) B) and C)
F) All of the above

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Under the adaptive expectations hypothesis, which of the following is the most likely long-run effect of a move to a more expansionary monetary policy?


A) higher prices and no change in real output
B) higher prices and expansion in real output
C) no change in prices but an expansion in real output
D) no change in either prices or real output

E) A) and D)
F) C) and D)

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